Odds for Worlds 2026 quarterfinals: Markets see T1 and IG as favorites – but with vastly different confidence

With the League of Legends World Championship 2026 quarterfinals set from November 3 to 6, the odds markets have put numbers on the teams' chances – and the picture is far from uniform.

T1 is priced at around an 84% chance of victory against Karmine Corp, but this matchup creates the greatest disagreement among bookmakers. At 1xbet, KC is listed at 9.45 in decimal odds, while Stake offers only 4.80 – nearly double. This means KC's implied win probability ranges from approximately 10% to 19% depending on the source. The markets acknowledge T1's status as defending champions, but the team's Swiss Stage run gave cause for reflection: they only faced one LCK/LPL team in DK, which was also the only team to defeat them, before finishing 3-1.

Invictus Gaming faces Top Esports on November 3 and is priced at approximately 56% – the closest match in the field. IG's path to the quarterfinals was anything but easy: they lost Game 2 to LYON with a gold deficit of around 10,000 and were pushed into a decisive third game, which they won in approximately 23 minutes. This is IG's first appearance in the Worlds knockout stage in seven years. TES also finished 3-1, but played against stronger opponents in the Swiss Stage, including G2 and Bilibili Gaming – and the team has also been affected by visa issues that have kept their starting top laner and parts of the coaching staff away.

The markets' assessment is clear: T1 and IG are both favorites, but while T1's odds reflect a broad consensus about the team's strength, the spread in the KC-T1 market signals genuine uncertainty. For IG, the narrow pricing against TES is a direct reflection of the fact that Swiss Stage performances have not convinced the markets of a clear hierarchy between the two teams.

All quarterfinals are played as best-of-five and begin at 2:00 PM PT.